I recently added a link to the Index, for Josh Wright’s Racing To Profit web site. He’s been blogging since December 2013. I can’t believe I’d not discovered it before now, but as it turns out my timing couldn’t have been better. Well I guess it could have been, if I’d discovered it before last year’s Cheltenham, then I could have shouted about it before this year’s festival.
I’d signed up to Josh’s email list and here’s what he said in an email that came out the day before the Festival began:
If you want tips for the handicaps (+3 bonus races), write ups, videos, stats/trends reports, shortlists, micro angle qualifiers and notes on jockeys/trainers/owners, then you may enjoy my approach. There is also plenty of chat in the comments and it’s one big community, all trying desperately hard to end the week in front.Last year we made +62 points, with a 25 point Festival bank..i’ll be trying to better that, but it will be tough.
That was enough to convince me to take up his offer. After all he was only asking £9 + VAT and Josh was offering a 60 day money back guarantee, if come the end of the week I was unhappy with his efforts/my experience.
If you want to know if he managed to beat his last year profit of +62 points, then skip to the bottom of this post, but if you want the full details of how his selections performed, then read on.
Before the start of the festival Josh stated he’d be working from a 25 point betting bank, so anyone following his selections knew upfront what the maximum liability was and could set their stakes accordingly. Josh made it clear that given the nature of the races he was advising in (mainly big runner handicaps) it was highly likely he could come away from the festival drawing a complete blank.
The first day of the festival saw 7 horses advised across 3 races. Things didn’t get off to the greatest of starts, with first Shantou Flyer being beaten by a neck in the Ultima, with Vintage Clouds back in 3rd, followed a couple of hours later with Ms Parfois losing by half a length in the National Hunt Challenge Cup.
Josh had advised all bets as win only, based upon his preferred way of betting and it was good to see his analysis was not far off the mark, but there was a niggling doubt that luck was going to be against him. That doubt didn’t last long however, as in the very next race Mr Whitaker got up in the shadow of the post for victory and provide the first winner of the festival.
At advised odds of 9/1 Mr Whitaker secured a profit of 3 points on day one of the festival.
Just the 2 handicaps to contend with on day two of Cheltenham and Josh put up 5 horses, split between the 2. There was no waiting for the final race of the day for a winner. Bleu Berry got the better of Topofthegame in a close finish to win the Coral Cup. At an advised price of 28/1 and a Betfair SP of 30.29, the pressure was off, as it guaranteed followers a profitable Cheltenham Festival.
Neither selection, in the Fred Winter, could live up to such a great result. However some members got paid out on Turning Gold finishing 5th, thanks to some bookmakers paying out on the first 5 places. In particular Josh had highlighted bet365 paying out 1/4 odds 5 places.
Overall (ignoring Turning Gold’s 5th place) +22 points profit was banked on day 2 of the festival.
3 more handicaps on day 3 and like on day 1, Josh again put forward 7 selections, split between the 3. His main selections didn’t get a look in, in the first two races, although in his write up for the Brown Advisory Handicap Race Josh stated “The first thing I will say is that I will not put you off either of the top two in the market, and I have had a saver on The Storyteller who does look the most interesting”. I took heed of his words and had a few pounds on the storyteller, who won at 5/1, meaning I didn’t lose any money on the race.
It was again the last race of the day where Josh came up trumps in the Kim Muir. With 3 selections backed in the race it was Missed Approach that landed the spoils at an advised price of 12/1, having been backed into 8/1 SP.
Another 6 points in the bag (8 for anyone having the saver on Storyteller).
The final day of the festival and with +31 points profits in the Bag, Josh wasn’t prepared to rest on his laurels. Safeguarding +20 points profit he threw 11 selections into the mix split across the 3 handicap races, with a bonus of the Albert Bartlett Novice’s Hurdle.
With 4 selections in the race, surely Josh would find the winner of the County Hurdle. No. That’s not the way racing works. We had to wait until the Albert Bartlett for that. Josh’s stats had highlighted 2 horses that met all 10 of his stats profile and he put up a 1/2 point bet on each of them. Kilbrichen Storm won the race at advised odds of 50/1, but I can’t say I cheered him home.
I’d also backed Fabulous Saga in the race (not one of Josh’s selections) and had been cheering him on as he turned for home, well clear of the pack. I was disappointed has he got headed jumping the last and it wasn’t until the winner crossed the line that I realised it was one of Josh’s selections for the race and I’d just backed a 50/1 winner.
Well at that point you’d have thought things couldn’t get any better than that. But you’d be wrong. In the Martin Pipe Hurdle Josh’s two selections finished 1st and 2nd, with the winner advised at 12/1 and the 2nd advised each-way at 40/1.
There was no winner in the final race of the festival, but by that time nobody cared. Some Plan gave a good run for the money, but ultimately fell at the last.
An additional 38.5 points added to the coffers, to round off a superb betting achievement.
Even though the festival had finished Josh still had one Ace left up his sleeve. He’d promised anyone who signed up to his Cheltenham offer, would get access to the members content of his blog, up until 25th March and would also receive his selections for the Midlands Grand National. A race that last year he’d tipped the winner at 22/1.
It’s not a race I’d normally consider having a bet in, but given the form Josh had been in over the Cheltenham Festival I decided to have a flutter on his selections in the race.
3 Selections advised for the race and Regal Flow won at an advised price of 25/1, backed into 16/1. I was able to back it on Betfair Exchange at 30.0, half an hour before the race.
Adding up the results for the 4 days of Cheltenham, plus the Midlands Grand National Winner gives a total of 92 points profit, but despite the fantastic performance, Josh is keen to point out he doesn’t want to be regarded as a tipster. Here’s what he feels his service is about:
fun, entertainment, community, unrivalled (biased!) blunt honesty and transparency, are the core of what I do here, or that is the aim- allowing a fair bit of space for members to think for themselves and come to decisions on what to engage with, what to back systematically, what to use as starting points, etc etc. It’s one long journey really, with no end destination -well, long term profit is the foundation I suppose, or certainly not losing! One for the patient type, those who don’t want a get rich quick scheme, who may wish to develop their own skills/become better punters (as I try to do over time) , and all round may just enjoy flicking through/watching various musings (from me + comments) on a sport they love.
So don’t go to his site expecting to make 90+ points profit each week. The Cheltenham Festival creates a special set of circumstances, which clearly suit his style of betting. After the week he’s just experienced Josh says “The betting gods will have me firmly in their sights now, you don’t win +92 points from 35 or so outlay and there be no correction!”.
Having been part of his service for the past week I can however wholeheartedly recommend you take a look at his site. It’s not just the winners, it’s the whole way he runs the site, the efforts he puts in and the knowledge he shares.
Apart from during the Cheltenham Festival week, Josh writes a free daily blog post, where he mainly focuses on his tips on 3m+ handicap chases.
For those wishing to join his members service, he offers a 7 week trial for £7, to give a taster of what else he has to offer. He’s building a great community of race enthusiasts, some the members who comment on his posts, are also very knowledgeable and put up their own selections, which are worthwhile following in their own right (no pun intended). It’s definitely worth adding your email address to his free mailing list, so that come next year’s festival you receive a notification, if he repeats his Cheltenham Festival special offer.
You can signup to his list and get a couple of Free Jumps reports at : https://racingtoprofit.co.uk/jumps2018